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OT: Major hurricane

124

Comments

  • Gulfcoastguy
    Gulfcoastguy Posts: 7,326
    Ozzie_Isaac said:
    I think Jim Cant-ore walks at an angle even with no wind.
    He walks at an angle because one is so much more massive than the other.
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  • HeavyG
    HeavyG Posts: 10,380
    Ozzie_Isaac said:
    I think Jim Cant-ore walks at an angle even with no wind.
    "Back home that's what we call an overcooked ham."


    “Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away.” ― Philip K. Diçk




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  • Botch
    Botch Posts: 17,349
    This morning I'd never heard of Jim Cantore.  Now tonight I see he's branching out.
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKxHXsZPZhY

    “I'll have what she's having."  

        -Rob Reiner's mother!   

    Ogden, UT, USA

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  • lousubcap
    lousubcap Posts: 36,710
    @Botch- Jim Cantore made his brand by getting positioned  (Weather Channel assist) into the weather hot spots around the country.   He landed (not a good sign for the location) in Louisville on August 4, 2009 as we got 6 inches of rain in one hour with more that followed. (Clearly the weather worthy story of the day.)
    If he never showed up on your doorstep , life was good weather-wise.  FWIW-
    Louisville; Rolling smoke in the neighbourhood.  Life is too short for light/lite beer!  Seems I'm livin in a transitional period. CHEETO (aka Agent Orange) makes Nixon look like a saint.  
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  • Botch
    Botch Posts: 17,349
    Yeah, after seeing a few memes via googlez I figured he's as welcome on your doorstep as the reporters from 60 Minutes...  :lol:  

    “I'll have what she's having."  

        -Rob Reiner's mother!   

    Ogden, UT, USA

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  • kl8ton
    kl8ton Posts: 6,403
    Foghorn said:
    kl8ton said:
    Foghorn said:
    Gulfcoastguy said:
    Now projected just south of Tampa Bay for the eye https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2022/hurricane-ian?map=5day&MR=1
    That's good news for Tampa/St. Pete.  Bad news for friends of ours who just bought a house in Venice a few months ago.

    Potentially disastrous news for Little Gasparilla Island.  Few people even know it exists because it is a barrier island only reachable by boat but I had an aunt that had a place there so we vacationed there a couple of times.  This storm could destroy most of the buildings there.
    Is that by Boca grand?
    Yes.  Boca Grande is on Gasparilla Island.  There is a road to it.  Little Gasparilla is the next barrier island to the north of that.  No roads to it and the houses are relatively poorly constructed.  It may just be a sand bar after this.


    I climbed up that lighthouse! Wasn't exactly open.....


    Looks like I may not be taking the annual Thanksgiving Ft Myers beach trip....
    Large, Medium, MiniMax, 36" Blackstone
    Grand Rapids MI
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  • Legume
    Legume Posts: 15,936
    There will probably be an abundance of trailers down there this year.
    THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER
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  • SamIAm2
    SamIAm2 Posts: 1,997
    Legume said:
    There will probably be an abundance of trailers down there this year.
    And an abundance of out of state roofers selling 15 year shingles and installing 5 year instead.
    Ubi panis, ibi patria.
    Large - Roswell rig, MiniMax-PS Woo; Cocoa, Fl.
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  • Legume
    Legume Posts: 15,936
    Do they make 5 year shingles?
    THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER
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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 34,571

    My mom 
    Has peanut butter and bread, suncity. That's all I got. don't know what to to
    Say
    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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  • Gulfcoastguy
    Gulfcoastguy Posts: 7,326
    SamIAm2 said:
    Legume said:
    There will probably be an abundance of trailers down there this year.
    And an abundance of out of state roofers selling 15 year shingles and installing 5 year instead.
    Judging from Katrina, most of them will just want to put the blue tarps on. They can do several of those a day while a good crew might be able to put shingles on 2 houses a day. More profit, quicker. We rented a house to one of those contractors after Katrina, when everybody had tarps up he left. The thing is the Mormons were putting them up for free.
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  • Florida Grillin Girl
    Florida Grillin Girl Posts: 5,011
    We dodged a bullet again in the Tampa bay area, just lucky, I guess. Tomorrow, I am sorry to see the damage caused by this storm. UGG.
    Happily egging on my original large BGE since 1996... now the owner of 5 eggs. Call me crazy, everyone else does!
     
    3 Large, 1 Small, 1 well-used Mini
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  • nolaegghead
    nolaegghead Posts: 42,109
    The vast majority of storm chasing construction workers and con men come from either Texas or Florida (not mutually exclusive) when we have a natural disaster.  A lot of these guys won’t have to travel far.
    ______________________________________________
    I love lamp..
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  • alaskanassasin
    alaskanassasin Posts: 8,912
    It is amazing they still have no idea where these things are going. The model I saw yesterday had it going straight north to Ohio by Sunday/Monday and now its going to shoot up the east coast.
    South of Columbus, Ohio.


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  • ColbyLang
    ColbyLang Posts: 4,387
    Weather man, best job in the world. Wrong 100% of the time, still getting paid
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  • SamIAm2
    SamIAm2 Posts: 1,997
    Waiting for this to move north. This system is moving very slow. Had a quick power glitch at 2:49 am. One more clock to reset and grateful for that. Have family near Tampa, waiting to hear how they are. 
    Ubi panis, ibi patria.
    Large - Roswell rig, MiniMax-PS Woo; Cocoa, Fl.
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  • SamIAm2
    SamIAm2 Posts: 1,997
    Legume said:
    Do they make 5 year shingles?
    Yes - https://www.homedepot.com/b/Building-Materials-Roofing-Roof-Shingles/5-Year-Limited-Warranty/N-5yc1vZc5rbZ1z19yl7
    Ubi panis, ibi patria.
    Large - Roswell rig, MiniMax-PS Woo; Cocoa, Fl.
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  • Foghorn
    Foghorn Posts: 10,226
    I just got report from brother-in-law (just south of Orlando near Disney) and a friend (north of Orlando).  One has power - one doesn't.  Neither house is flooded and all home structures remain intact including the screen over the pool at one location.  Hopefully the worst is over - but it will likely take a couple of days to learn about the damage on the Gulf coast.

    XXL BGE, Karebecue, Klose BYC, Chargiller Akorn Kamado, Weber Smokey Mountain, Grand Turbo gasser, Weber Smoky Joe, and the wheelbarrow that my grandfather used to cook steaks from his cattle

    San Antonio, TX

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  • TEXASBGE2018
    TEXASBGE2018 Posts: 3,831
    edited September 2022
    ColbyLang said:
    Weather man, best job in the world. Wrong 100% of the time, still getting paid
    When I was in college I took an elective course called "weather and climate". It was taught by one of our local tv weathermen. His
    opening line in class day 1 was. "If you see me on tv saying anything and it's further than 24hrs out. I'm full of shite"


    Rockwall, Tx    LBGE, Minimax, 22" Blackstone, Pizza Party Bollore. Cast Iron Hoarder.

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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 34,571
    ColbyLang said:
    Weather man, best job in the world. Wrong 100% of the time, still getting paid

    they got the storm surge in tampa bay pretty spot on, within 24 feet is pretty close
    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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  • TideEggHead
    TideEggHead Posts: 1,345
    I checked in with my cousin in Orlando, he said it was a rough night and they lost power around 11pm or so. They had a fence come down and their road is flooded but otherwise the house, cars, etc... are in good shape! I hope everyone else is staying safe.
    LBGE
    AL
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  • TideEggHead
    TideEggHead Posts: 1,345

    LBGE
    AL
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  • JohnInCarolina
    JohnInCarolina Posts: 34,686
    edited September 2022
    alaskanassasin said:
    It is amazing they still have no idea where these things are going. The model I saw yesterday had it going straight north to Ohio by Sunday/Monday and now its going to shoot up the east coast.
    I wouldn't say they have no idea.  They have a pretty good idea of where it is headed the next couple of days.  After that the degree of uncertainty increases considerably, and that's where some of the models start to diverge, accordingly.

    Hurricane forecasting is challenging because weather is fairly chaotic on its own and when you add in lots of turbulent flow things become even more unstable.  

    But take a look at this gif at the beginning and what the forecast was last Friday and through the weekend - it was pretty darn accurate.


    "I've made a note never to piss you two off." - Stike

    "The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand." - Deep Throat
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  • saluki2007
    saluki2007 Posts: 6,354
    Good friends parents have a place on Sanibel Island.  The causeway to get there has been destroyed.  Not sure if they will setup some sort of ferry for residents to get out there of if they will have to find private boats to access the damage.  My parents were supposed to close on a place in Naples on Gulf Shore BLVD yesterday.  They postponed their trip and closing.  The current owners just had new hurricane windows installed last week.  No better way to test them out.
    Large and Small BGE
    Central, IL

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  • SamIAm2
    SamIAm2 Posts: 1,997
     Now I have no electricity at my house.  Reported the outage and will wait on resolution.  i Idea when it will be restored or how many customers are affected. Happy, happy. joy, joy.

    Ubi panis, ibi patria.
    Large - Roswell rig, MiniMax-PS Woo; Cocoa, Fl.
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  • BigreenGreg
    BigreenGreg Posts: 600
    Current track has it going over my house on 2nd landfall, thanks again FL for taking the hit. I'll find out if that backup generator I put in 2 years ago works.
    LBGE, 36" Blackstone, Anova Pro
    Charleston, SC
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  • Foghorn
    Foghorn Posts: 10,226
    saluki2007 said:
    Good friends parents have a place on Sanibel Island.  The causeway to get there has been destroyed.  Not sure if they will setup some sort of ferry for residents to get out there of if they will have to find private boats to access the damage.  My parents were supposed to close on a place in Naples on Gulf Shore BLVD yesterday.  They postponed their trip and closing.  The current owners just had new hurricane windows installed last week.  No better way to test them out.
    I just learned that one of my colleague's parents have 2 condos - one on Sanibel and one on Captiva.  They are expecting total losses, but might not know for a while because the bridge is out. 

    XXL BGE, Karebecue, Klose BYC, Chargiller Akorn Kamado, Weber Smokey Mountain, Grand Turbo gasser, Weber Smoky Joe, and the wheelbarrow that my grandfather used to cook steaks from his cattle

    San Antonio, TX

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  • HeavyG
    HeavyG Posts: 10,380
    TEXASBGE2018 said:
    ColbyLang said:
    Weather man, best job in the world. Wrong 100% of the time, still getting paid
    When I was in college I took an elective course called "weather and climate". It was taught by one of our local tv weathermen. His
    opening line in class day 1 was. "If you see me on tv saying anything and it's further than 24hrs out. I'm full of shite"

    Funny they would say that when, in fact, these days a 7 day forecast can be accurate about 80% of the time and 5 day forecasts can be accurate about 90% of the time.
    Given all the variables involved I find current weather forecasting practices to be pretty amazing.
    “Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away.” ― Philip K. Diçk




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  • Langner91
    Langner91 Posts: 2,120
    I miss the weather goats of Mt. Nebo.  They were never wrong!
    Clinton, Iowa
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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 34,571
    HeavyG said:
    TEXASBGE2018 said:
    ColbyLang said:
    Weather man, best job in the world. Wrong 100% of the time, still getting paid
    When I was in college I took an elective course called "weather and climate". It was taught by one of our local tv weathermen. His
    opening line in class day 1 was. "If you see me on tv saying anything and it's further than 24hrs out. I'm full of shite"

    Funny they would say that when, in fact, these days a 7 day forecast can be accurate about 80% of the time and 5 day forecasts can be accurate about 90% of the time.
    Given all the variables involved I find current weather forecasting practices to be pretty amazing.

    the weather reports on the vhf on the boat is so much better than what i find online or watching the news.  its constantly updated and report in specific locations. i did not listen once on a calm blue bird day and still am not sure how i got back
    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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