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Tracking Covid Spread

2

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  • Legume
    Legume Posts: 15,178
    edited November 2020
    And I think forest fires that impacted air quality in populated areas also drove people indoors.
    Love you bro!
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  • Lit
    Lit Posts: 9,053
    Gulfcoastguy said:
    Lit said:
    Georgia has seen a pretty big decline over the last several months. Locally our schools are all open for in person learning and very few issues. The whole weather thing doesnt seem right since our cases were high in August which is the hottest part of the year.
    In the South August is air conditioning weather. Plus that is when schools start. Normally the fall is great for outdoor activities.
    You can see the numbers have dropped here since school started. All the youth sports are running here i know people that have their kids in soccer and football. I take my kids to a local park to ride their motorcycles and the playgrounds are always full. Its crazy staying inside with people you know could be worse than what people are doing around here. 
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  • YukonRon
    YukonRon Posts: 17,075
    Unfortunately, Kentucky is off the rails. Louisville leads COVID deaths over the rest of the state 5:1. The infections are around a 1000/day. We are a serious Red State, and have pretty much followed the protocols of the president and not of the medical experts. So many have surrendered to the inevitability, and have just quit trying, which has lead to a very dire and sad situation here.
    "Knowledge is Good" - Emil Faber

    XL and MM
    Louisville, Kentucky
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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 33,390
    Lit said:
    Gulfcoastguy said:
    Lit said:
    Georgia has seen a pretty big decline over the last several months. Locally our schools are all open for in person learning and very few issues. The whole weather thing doesnt seem right since our cases were high in August which is the hottest part of the year.
    In the South August is air conditioning weather. Plus that is when schools start. Normally the fall is great for outdoor activities.
    You can see the numbers have dropped here since school started. All the youth sports are running here i know people that have their kids in soccer and football. I take my kids to a local park to ride their motorcycles and the playgrounds are always full. Its crazy staying inside with people you know could be worse than what people are doing around here. 

    still be careful and stay safe. kids 19 and under are testing positive here now and its been the biggest age group testing positive in the last  month in town. it may be that this town is testing more aggressively with the kids. they were posting the ages but stopped, nobody wants to see a 2 year old catching this. i like this map that jic posted awhile back, it breaks down the counties, some counties are running high down your way right now


    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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  • Ozzie_Isaac
    Ozzie_Isaac Posts: 20,510
    edited November 2020
    In the beginning the plan was to lower the peak and spread out the infection (opposite of 6-Sigma goal of squish and scoot).  That would enable hospitals to keep from being overwhelmed.

    Goal was not to eliminate infections, because they said that was impossible.  They said eventually a very significant portion of people would get it.  Has that philosophy changed?

    Yes, I wear masks, avoid large groups while indoors, limit my "friend" group.  One of my risk areas is Rodeos, but we are outside and usually well over the 6' seperation recommendation.

    I cancelled a last ditch effort to travel in 2020 due to rising case counts.

    Maybe your purpose in life is only to serve as an example for others? - LPL


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  • caliking
    caliking Posts: 18,883
    fishlessman said:
    how is north dakota so high.
    That map defaults to "rate per 100K". Despite being less densely populated (or just less populated), more ND folks caught it relative to their population. 

    Under Metric, click on "count", and it'll show CoVID spread based on absolute numbers.

    #1 LBGE December 2012 • #2 SBGE February  2013 • #3 Mini May 2013
    A happy BGE family in Houston, TX.
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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 33,390
    Ozzie_Isaac said:
    In the beginning the plan was to lower the peak and spread out the infection (opposite of 6-Sigma goal of squish and scoot).  That would enable hospitals to keep from being overwhelmed.

    Goal was not to eliminate infections, because they said that was impossible.  They said eventually a very significant portion of people would get it.  Has that philosophy changed?

    Yes, I wear masks, avoid large groups while indoors, limit my "friend" group.  One of my risk areas is Rodeos, but we are outside and usually well over the 6' seperation recommendation.

    I cancelled a last ditch effort to travel in 2020 due to rising case counts.

    the dakotas look to be on track to be 100 percent infected in the next several months looking at the maps
    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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  • Canugghead
    Canugghead Posts: 12,081
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    canuckland
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  • fishlessman
    fishlessman Posts: 33,390
    caliking said:
    fishlessman said:
    how is north dakota so high.
    That map defaults to "rate per 100K". Despite being less densely populated (or just less populated), more ND folks caught it relative to their population. 

    Under Metric, click on "count", and it'll show CoVID spread based on absolute numbers.

    but its the rate that shows the higher chance to get the thing. is it a mask thing, cold weather, the way the community works together, lack of healthcare available nearby. its not the biggest state for travel other than my dog is from there ;)
    fukahwee maine

    you can lead a fish to water but you can not make him drink it
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  • JohnInCarolina
    JohnInCarolina Posts: 32,522
    Ozzie_Isaac said:
    In the beginning the plan was to lower the peak and spread out the infection (opposite of 6-Sigma goal of squish and scoot).  That would enable hospitals to keep from being overwhelmed.

    Goal was not to eliminate infections, because they said that was impossible.  They said eventually a very significant portion of people would get it.  Has that philosophy changed?

     Flattening the curve has remained the philosophy, as far as I understand it.  Really just keep the hospitals from being overrun until we can have a vaccine deployed.

    But you need to get people to buy into this philosophy for it to work.  I think pandemic fatigue is part of what we're seeing now.  


    "I've made a note never to piss you two off." - Stike
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  • ColbyLang
    ColbyLang Posts: 3,820
    JohnInCarolina said:
    Ozzie_Isaac said:
    In the beginning the plan was to lower the peak and spread out the infection (opposite of 6-Sigma goal of squish and scoot).  That would enable hospitals to keep from being overwhelmed.

    Goal was not to eliminate infections, because they said that was impossible.  They said eventually a very significant portion of people would get it.  Has that philosophy changed?

     Flattening the curve has remained the philosophy, as far as I understand it.  Really just keep the hospitals from being overrun until we can have a vaccine deployed.

    But you need to get people to buy into this philosophy for it to work.  I think pandemic fatigue is part of what we're seeing now.  


    This x 1,000,000. Flattening the curve until there is sustainable results with a treatment. Wear a mask, be courteous to those around you. Our friend circle is very tight. Just got back from vacation where we never left the hotel grounds, groceries delivered and stayed 20’ from the closest group next to us on the beach. 
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  • caliking
    caliking Posts: 18,883
    fishlessman said:
    caliking said:
    fishlessman said:
    how is north dakota so high.
    That map defaults to "rate per 100K". Despite being less densely populated (or just less populated), more ND folks caught it relative to their population. 

    Under Metric, click on "count", and it'll show CoVID spread based on absolute numbers.

    but its the rate that shows the higher chance to get the thing. is it a mask thing, cold weather, the way the community works together, lack of healthcare available nearby. its not the biggest state for travel other than my dog is from there ;)
    Those are all possible (likely?) factors.

    But, the "rate per 100K" is somewhat of a misnomer. They're actually reporting the cases per 100K. It doesn't outright define the risk of getting infected, but states the prevalence of the disease i.e. how many are infected at a particular time. Less populated areas/states can look skewed because of the smaller denominator. 

    #1 LBGE December 2012 • #2 SBGE February  2013 • #3 Mini May 2013
    A happy BGE family in Houston, TX.
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  • JohnInCarolina
    JohnInCarolina Posts: 32,522
    @Cornholio - yep.  Spot on.
    "I've made a note never to piss you two off." - Stike
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  • Ozzie_Isaac
    Ozzie_Isaac Posts: 20,510
    The amount of asymptomatic cases popping up worries me.  You can take all the temps and ask all the questions you want.  If you are not showing symptoms none of that will help.

    Maybe your purpose in life is only to serve as an example for others? - LPL


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  • EzraBrooks
    EzraBrooks Posts: 396
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
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  • Cornholio
    Cornholio Posts: 1,047
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
    Common sense comes to mind. I certainly have not and will not simply follow “leaders” without some critical thinking to make my own decisions. 
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  • Boileregger
    Boileregger Posts: 614
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
    Agree.  Stark difference between how Mitch Daniels (Purdue president and lifelong Republican/former Indiana governor) is demonstrating mask wearing and reminding students to be careful and protect Purdue on a daily basis.
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  • caliking
    caliking Posts: 18,883
    Cornholio said:
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
    Common sense comes to mind. I certainly have not and will not simply follow “leaders” without some critical thinking to make my own decisions. 
    The world most definitely needs more folks like you.

    #1 LBGE December 2012 • #2 SBGE February  2013 • #3 Mini May 2013
    A happy BGE family in Houston, TX.
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  • Botch
    Botch Posts: 16,203
    Utard's governor refused a mask mandate until this week.  And his reason?  "We have to nip this thing in the bud before ski season starts".  
     
    Think about that.  Skiers from everywhere in the country/world, barreling down a mountain, then crowding shoulder-to-shoulder 8 to 20 people at a time into an enclosed gondola for the 15-minute ride to the top, panting on each other.
     
    The.
    Man.
    Is.
    Criminally.
    Stupid.  
    :anguished:
    ___________

    "When small men begin to cast big shadows, it means that the sun is about to set."

    - Lin Yutang


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  • EzraBrooks
    EzraBrooks Posts: 396
    Cornholio said:
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
    Common sense comes to mind. I certainly have not and will not simply follow “leaders” without some critical thinking to make my own decisions. 
    True, but how much common sense does the average 18-20 year old have?  Leaders setting an example matters.
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  • nolaegghead
    nolaegghead Posts: 42,109
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    EzraBrooks said:
    Cornholio said:
    Canugghead said:
    Legume said:
    Elections are going to spike this as well.

    Voting in person, the various protest and celebratory gatherings I saw on TV just made me cringe.
    Agree, + rallies
    And the super important college football games.  :|  I already don’t give a rat’s ars about football but this one just amplified how stupidly obsessed with a game some people are. 

    Just in time for the holidays when they’ll be visiting their older relatives. 


    Leadership matters.  The president of Notre Dame didn't care about COVID-19, how would we expect the students to?
    Common sense comes to mind. I certainly have not and will not simply follow “leaders” without some critical thinking to make my own decisions. 
    True, but how much common sense does the average 18-20 year old have?  Leaders setting an example matters.
    The raging hormones of that age group can overwhelm the part of the brain that organizes logic and reason.  When I was 18 I would lose my mind if I couldn't go to "the party" where my friends were at.

    Would not be surprised if there were more socks in the septic clogs during this pandemic. 

    ______________________________________________
    I love lamp..
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  • Gulfcoastguy
    Gulfcoastguy Posts: 6,706
    Yep I told someone back in April “How long do you think that you are going to keep a 16 year old boy away from his girlfriend?”.
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  • lousubcap
    lousubcap Posts: 33,874
    Leadership at Notre Dame-give this a look: (Dateline Oct 13th)

    INDIANAPOLIS -- The Rev. John Jenkins, the president of the University of Notre Dame, has ended his quarantine after testing positive for the coronavirus less than a week following his attendance at a White House event without wearing a mask.

    Jenkins "is symptom-free and looks forward to resuming his normal activities,” the university announced Monday evening. He began his self-isolation period Sept. 28, two days after he attended the Rose Garden ceremony for Amy Coney Barrett, a judge and Notre Dame law professor who is President Donald Trump's nominee for U.S. Supreme Court justice.

    Louisville; Rolling smoke in the neighbourhood. # 38 for the win.  Life is too short for light/lite beer!  Seems I'm livin in a transitional period.
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  • ryantt
    ryantt Posts: 2,545
    The problem we are seeing is we are out of space.  The hospital isn’t full; however, we have no more negative pressure rooms or icu beds.

    that’s what I’m seeing/ hearing from work.  I’m currently on a 2 week mandatory staycation... thankfully  not sick, just an exposure 
    XL BGE, KJ classic, Joe Jr, UDS x2 


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  • JRWhitee
    JRWhitee Posts: 5,678
    YukonRon said:
    Unfortunately, Kentucky is off the rails. Louisville leads COVID deaths over the rest of the state 5:1. The infections are around a 1000/day. We are a serious Red State, and have pretty much followed the protocols of the president and not of the medical experts. So many have surrendered to the inevitability, and have just quit trying, which has lead to a very dire and sad situation here.
    I blame McConnell
                                                                
    _________________________________________________
    Don't let the truth get in the way of a good story!
    Large BGE 2006, Mini Max 2014, 36" Blackstone, Anova Sous Vide
    Green Man Group 
    Johns Creek, Georgia
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  • Gulfcoastguy
    Gulfcoastguy Posts: 6,706
    JRWhitee said:
    YukonRon said:
    Unfortunately, Kentucky is off the rails. Louisville leads COVID deaths over the rest of the state 5:1. The infections are around a 1000/day. We are a serious Red State, and have pretty much followed the protocols of the president and not of the medical experts. So many have surrendered to the inevitability, and have just quit trying, which has lead to a very dire and sad situation here.
    I blame McConnell
    Louisville probably voted for the other guy.
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  • lousubcap
    lousubcap Posts: 33,874
    Turns out that although the state went to Trump by a 62-38% margin, the majority of the state thinks the Democratic Governor is doing a good job with addressing covid.  Article linked here:
    https://www.rcnky.com/articles/2020/09/17/covid-poll-majority-ky-still-approve-beshear-not-trump  
    It has been that way since this started in March.  Despite the red state branding the Governor has definitely been more aggressive than anything from DC.  He definitely hit a nerve early in this when he was hung in effigy outside the capitol.  FWIW-
    Louisville; Rolling smoke in the neighbourhood. # 38 for the win.  Life is too short for light/lite beer!  Seems I'm livin in a transitional period.
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  • EzraBrooks
    EzraBrooks Posts: 396
    Kid's school just emailed that all students must return to maximum of 50% in person starting Monday.
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